March 11, 2014 5:27 pm

Behind the numbers: The winning streak

What do basic and advanced statistics tell us about the Kings’ eight-game winning streak?

SCORING, FEBRUARY 6 – MARCH 10

Anze Kopitar: 3-6=9
Jeff Carter: 4-3=7
Justin Williams: 3-3=6
Dustin Brown: 2-4=6
Alec Martinez: 3-2=5 (6 GP)
Mike Richards: 2-2=4
Jake Muzzin: 2-2=4
Robyn Regehr: 2-2=4
Tyler Toffoli: 0-4=4
Slava Voynov: 0-4=4
Trevor Lewis: 2-1=3
Drew Doughty: 0-3=3
Dwight King: 1-1=2
Jarret Stoll: 1-1=2
Matt Greene: 0-1=1 (2 GP)
Kyle Clifford: 0-1=1 (7 GP)
Marian Gaborik: 0-0=0 (3 GP)
Tanner Pearson: 0-0=0 (4 GP)
Jordan Nolan: 0-0=0 (6 GP)
Willie Mitchell: 0-0=0

-Kopitar’s production is actually part of a nine-game, 12-point (4-8=12) stretch.

-Robyn Regehr and Slava Voynov have hit seasonal strides. From before yesterday’s game:

 

Jonathan Quick: 6-0-0 / 0.99 GAA / .957 Sv% / 1 SHO
-Quick has allowed more than one goal in a game once over the stretch (@ EDM).
Martin Jones: 2-0-0 / 3.01 GAA / .891 Sv% / 0 SHO

Power Play: 5-for-27 (18.5%)
-Four of the eight game-winning goals were scored on the power play (@ COL, vs CAR, vs MTL, @ EDM)
Penalty Kill: 22-for-27 (81.5%)

Shot attempts for/against, all situations
vs CBJ 54-50
@ COL 51-59
@ CGY 40-55
vs CAR 62-41
vs MTL 56-36
@ WPG 78-46
@ EDM 78-56
@ CGY 51-49
Total: 470-392 (54.5% Corsi For)
Season Corsi For, all situations: 55.3% (leads NHL)

Shot attempts for/against, even strength
vs CBJ 38-34
@ COL 37-38
@ CGY 33-39
vs CAR 44-33
vs MTL 40-25
@ WPG 56-39
@ EDM 67-49
@ CGY 47-44
Total: 362-301 (54.6% Corsi For)
Season Corsi For, even strength: 56.5% (leads NHL)
Statistics via Extra Skater

-The Kings’ Corsi ratings (percentage of total shots attempted) have actually dropped from their lofty seasonal rate during the winning streak. Considering the Kings are averaging 3.13 goals per game over the streak, this is an indication that the Kings have been more slightly more opportunistic recently, which has been represented in the recent goals off deflections and redirections.

-The Kings generated 22 shot attempts while on the power play in Winnipeg, the second highest total of the season.

-The Flames play the Kings awfully tough and have held Los Angeles below their seasonal Corsi rate in three of four games this season. Keep in mind that the Kings were playing on the second night of back-to-back sets in their two poorest Corsi performances against Calgary.

What do all these statistics tell us?

Darryl Sutter is likely on the money when he has said that the team hadn’t been playing poorly during its winter slump. There is no drastic change in the team’s possession metrics; in fact, the overall Corsi ratings have shown a negligible drop over the last eight games. Instead, the Kings’ power play rate has improved and has been able to provide the team goals at important times of the game. Anze Kopitar is experiencing his most productive stretch of the season, while Jonathan Quick has been outstanding and has allowed a sliver under a goal against per game during the streak. Players that had experienced unsustainably low shooting percentages (Brown, Richards) have been productive, while several players have contributed with unsung performances (Lewis, Martinez). Realistically, this current stretch is the inverse of the January slump in which the team’s underlying numbers weren’t awful. The team has also been aided by a more spread out schedule populated by fewer playoff-bound teams.

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