January 25, 2012 5:52 pm

Player-by-player stat projection, comparison

The Kings’ offensive struggles have been well-documented. Not only are they averaging the fewest number of goals per game in the NHL this season (2.14) but they’re on pace to finish this season with 182 goals, down from last season’s total of 219. The startling thing is that the offensive drop, almost entirely, has been across the board. The numbers indicate that almost every Kings player will be down in scoring from last season. The player-by-player numbers are below. To be perfectly clear, this isn’t intended as science. There are numerous factors that can influence/skew these numbers, and of course they don’t take into account any defense play. But, if you’re curious, here they are. The full-season projections assume that every player will play in the remaining 32 games (which isn’t possible, numbers-wise), but that’s probably the fairest way to do it. I also eliminated the injured players and Davis Drewiske, whose sample size (seven games) is just too small. So, here you go. The 2011-12 full-season projections are followed by last season’s totals…

NAMETHIS SEASON’S PROJECTIONSLAST SEASON’S TOTALS
Brown — 21 goals, 22 assists in 82 games — 28 goals, 29 assists in 82 games
Clifford — 5 goals, 10 assists in 82 games — 7 goals, 7 assists in 76 games
Doughty — 5 goals, 31 assists in 77 games — 11 goals, 29 assists in 76 games
Fraser — 2 goals, 6 assists in 67 games — 3 goals, 2 assists in 67 games (with EDM)
Greene — 5 goals, 7 assists in 82 games — 2 goals, 9 assists in 71 games
Hunter — 4 goals, 10 assists in 55 games — 1 goals, 3 assists in 17 games (with NYI)
Johnson — 13 goals, 21 assists in 82 games — 5 goals, 37 assists in 82 games
Kopitar — 25 goals, 48 assists in 82 games — 25 goals, 48 assists in 75 games
Lewis — 4 goals, 2 assists in 72 games — 3 goals, 10 assists in 72 games
Loktionov — 0 goals, 8 assists in 61 games — 4 goals, 3 assists in 19 games
Martinez — 5 goals, 0 assists in 55 games — 5 goals, 11 assists in 60 games
Mitchell — 5 goals, 14 assists in 76 games — 5 goals, 5 assists in 57 games
Penner — 5 goals, 15 assists in 70 games — 23 goals, 24 assists in 81 games (with EDM and LA)
Richards — 25 goals, 21 assists in 74 games — 23 goals, 43 assists in 81 games (with PHI)
Richardson — 5 goals, 4 assists in 73 games — 7 goals, 12 assists in 68 games
Scuderi — 2 goals, 8 assists in 82 games — 2 goals, 13 assists in 82 games
Stoll — 8 goals, 15 assists in 82 games — 20 goals, 23 assists in 82 games
Voynov — 8 goals, 14 assists in 63 games — (did not play in NHL last season)
Westgarth — 3 goals, 3 assists in 53 games — 0 goals, 3 assists in 56 games
Williams — 15 goals, 41 assists in 82 games — 22 goals, 35 assists in 73 games.

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